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Ajax, Ontario Real Estate Market Report

Durham Region, Ontario, Canada · Market data as of

Seller's Market
SellerBalancedBuyer
2.3 mo
Seller's Market

Ajax is currently a seller’s market with 2.3 months of inventory and a median sale price of $842K. Low inventory means sellers have more leverage, and well-priced homes are selling quickly.

Most market reports are old by the time you read them. Boards publish monthly, usually two weeks after the month closes. Every figure on this page is calculated daily from live MLS data, so you're seeing today's market, not last month's summary.

Based on 1,047 sales and 261active listings · Data refreshes every morning

Record Low: Avg DOM at 17 days for 4 consecutive months

Market Analysis

Median Price: $842KSold (12 mo): 1,047MOI: 2.3

The Ajax, Ontario real estate market is currently balanced, with 1,000 properties sold over the past 12 months, a median sold price of $649,000, an average of 29 days on market, a sale-to-list price ratio of 100%, and effectively zero active listings at present. According to the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA), a balanced market indicates that supply and demand are roughly in equilibrium, giving neither buyers nor sellers a consistent advantage. Ajax sits within Durham Region, east of Toronto along the north shore of Lake Ontario, and is part of the broader Greater Toronto Area commuter belt. MLS data confirms transaction volumes that reflect stable, Canada-wide market trends seen in similarly sized Ontario communities. For buyers, a 100% sale-to-list ratio means homes are selling at asking price, so significantly discounted offers are unlikely to find takers. For sellers, 29 days on market is a practical timeline that rewards accurate, market-reflective pricing.

Ajax draws steady demand from buyers priced out of Toronto and inner Durham Region communities like Pickering, who find comparable housing at lower price points along the Highway 401 corridor. The neighbouring cities of Whitby to the east and Oshawa further along Highway 401 offer useful comparisons: all three communities sit within commuting range of the Greater Toronto Area, and all have seen similar stabilization in sales activity. Statistics Canada census data shows that Ajax has experienced consistent population growth over recent decades, a demographic foundation that supports ongoing housing demand even as overall Canadian market activity moderates. The 1,000 sales recorded on MLS over the past year reflect a healthy, if not exceptional, level of activity. Sellers in this environment should expect buyers who are informed, patient, and less prone to competitive bidding than during peak seller's market conditions seen in earlier years.

Commentary generated May 28, 2026. Live statistics above reflect today's data.

BWhat This Means for Buyers

With only 2.3 months of inventory, Ajax is a seller's market. Buyers should be prepared to act quickly and come in with strong offers.

Homes are averaging 27 days on market — well-priced properties move fast.

Consider getting pre-approved and having your offer strategy ready before you start viewing.

SWhat This Means for Sellers

Sellers are in a strong position — low inventory means your home will get more attention.

28% of homes sold above asking price, so strategic pricing could trigger competitive offers.

Homes are selling at 99% of list price on average.

Filters apply to statistics and charts below. Other sections show all property types.

0
Active Listings
+5.7% 30d
0
Sold (12 mo)
$0
Median Price
0 days
Avg DOM
-8.2% 30d
0%
SP/LP Ratio
0.0
Months of Inventory
Updated daily
$886K
Average Price
Influenced by outliers
$842K
Median Price
Middle value of all sales
$1.14M
Benchmark Price
Tracks a typical home (CREA HPI)
$15K
Median Bid Delta
28%
Sold Above Asking
69%
Sold Below Asking

Prices have been trending downward over the past 12 months. Here's how that breaks down across price ranges and time.

Price Trends

$1.14MBenchmark-6.7% YoY
Prices Trending Down
HPI Trend Median Average
Price trend data: Jun 25: Median $880,000, Average $906,225, HPI Trend $882,332; Jul 25: Median $845,000, Average $890,104, HPI Trend $879,116; Aug 25: Median $850,000, Average $905,957, HPI Trend $875,899; Sep 25: Median $855,000, Average $936,364, HPI Trend $871,611; Oct 25: Median $835,000, Average $864,968, HPI Trend $869,735; Nov 25: Median $870,000, Average $928,512, HPI Trend $865,715; Dec 25: Median $873,500, Average $891,753, HPI Trend $859,550; Jan 26: Median $850,000, Average $869,908, HPI Trend $847,221; Feb 26: Median $869,000, Average $889,298, HPI Trend $840,252; Mar 26: Median $825,000, Average $872,457, HPI Trend $835,696; Apr 26: Median $836,500, Average $857,617, HPI Trend $836,500; May 26: Median $805,000, Average $837,722; Jun 26: Median $860,000, Average $908,038

Price Distribution

Price distribution: $2K–$452K: 26 properties, $452K–$902K: 617 properties, $902K–$1.4M: 364 properties, $1.4M–$1.8M: 33 properties, $1.8M–$2.3M: 3 properties, $2.3M–$2.7M: 2 properties, $2.7M–$3.2M: 1 properties, $3.2M–$3.6M: 1 properties

Days on Market Distribution

Days on market distribution: 1–7 days: 184 properties, 8–14 days: 268 properties, 15–30 days: 295 properties, 31–60 days: 187 properties, 61–90 days: 74 properties, 90+ days: 39 properties

How fast are homes selling?

Average days on market over time. Lower numbers mean homes are selling faster.

Under 20 = Hot Market Over 60 = Slow Market

How does this month compare?

Month-over-month and year-over-year changes in key metrics.

MetricCurrentLast MonthMoMSame Month Last YearYoY
Median Price$860K$805K+6.8%$880K-2.3%
Sales Count13121-89.3%81-84%
Avg DOM1722-22.7%28-39.3%

What's selling?

Breakdown of sales by property type over the past 12 months.

Freehold217 (83%)
Condo40 (15%)
Single Family4 (2%)

The monthly stats tell one story. The daily trajectory tells another — here's how inventory is moving day by day.

Daily Market Trajectory

Updated daily

Most market reports use 30-day rolling averages. By the time you see a shift, it already happened weeks ago. This chart tracks inventory daily so you can spot trajectory changes as they happen.

Under 4 mo = Seller'sOver 6 mo = Buyer's

Speed and competitiveness are two sides of the same coin. Here's how aggressively homes are trading.

How competitive is this market?

Absorption rate and sale-to-list price ratio show how aggressively homes are trading.

Absorption Rate SP/LP Ratio
Dual-axis chart showing absorption rate (area, left axis) and sale-to-list price ratio (line, right axis) over time.

Just Listed

Just Sold

Communities & Neighbourhoods in Ajax

Detailed market data for 7 areas within Ajax.

Want a Detailed Analysis?

Contact Jeff Chisholm for a personalized market analysis of Ajax and surrounding areas.

Jeff Chisholm, Sales Representative
Chisholm Real Estate Team
Direct Realty Ltd., Brokerage

Get in Touch

Top Rated Schools

Pickering High School
PublicSecondary
9.3
EQAO /10
Notre Dame Catholic Secondary School
CatholicSecondary
8.7
EQAO /10
Ajax High School
PublicSecondary
8.7
EQAO /10
Archbishop Denis O'Connor Catholic High School
CatholicSecondary
8.5
EQAO /10
St Francis de Sales Catholic School
CatholicElementary
8.4
EQAO /10

Source: EQAO provincial assessment results

Amenities

Insufficient amenity data for Ajax

How does Ajax compare?

Key metrics for nearby cities in Durham Region. All figures are for residential properties over the past 12 months.

Market Pulse Score

45
Balanced Market
Mixed Signals

Driving factor: Absorption rate (0.4)

MOI
25%
Absorption
20%
SP/LP
20%
DOM
15%
Price Cuts
10%

Price Outlook

12-Month Projection
$777,246$811,299
Low confidence (24 months)Model: linear-trend-v1

Market forecasts are statistical estimates based on historical MLS trend data, months of inventory, and Bank of Canada rate data. This information is provided for general informational purposes only, does not constitute financial, investment, or professional real estate advice, and should not be relied upon for making purchasing or investment decisions. Forecasts do not replace a professional Comparative Market Analysis or certified appraisal by a licensed appraiser.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the average home price in Ajax, Ontario?
The median home price in Ajax, Ontario is $842K based on 1047 sales over the past 12 months. The average price is $886K. There are currently 261 active listings in Ajax.
Is Ajax a buyer's or seller's market?
Ajax is currently a seller's market with 2.3 months of inventory. Low inventory means sellers have more negotiating power and homes tend to sell quickly.
How long do homes take to sell in Ajax?
Homes in Ajax take an average of 27 days to sell (days on market). The median days on market is 17. This is a moderate pace, typical of a balanced market.
What is the months of inventory in Ajax?
Ajax currently has 2.3 months of inventory, calculated daily from live listing data. Months of inventory measures how long it would take to sell all current listings at the current sales rate. Under 4 months typically indicates a seller's market, while over 6 months indicates a buyer's market.
How much do homes sell above or below asking in Ajax?
In Ajax, the median sale price is $15K below asking price. 28% of homes sold above asking and 69% sold below asking over the past 12 months. The sale-price-to-list-price ratio is 99%.
What are the real estate market trends in Ajax, Ontario?
The Ajax real estate market has prices trending downward with a median price of $860K in the most recent month. Prices changed +6.8% compared to the previous month. There were 13 sales in the month with an average of 17 days on market.

Current Mortgage Rates in Ontario

1 year fixed

2.50%

Bank of Canada Posted Rate

3 year fixed

5.19%

Bank of Canada Posted Rate

5 year fixed

6.09%

Bank of Canada Posted Rate

Prime (variable)

2.65%

Posted rates from Bank of Canada · Updated June 5, 2026

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Jeff Chisholm, Sales Representative, Chisholm Real Estate Team, Direct Realty Ltd., Brokerage

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MLS Data Provider
RECO Registered

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How We Calculate These Statistics

Data source: Statistics are calculated from MLS listing data provided under license from the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) and participating real estate boards.

Months of Inventory (MOI):Active listings divided by the monthly sales rate for the selected period (1, 3, 6, or 12 months). Under 4 months generally indicates a seller's market; over 6 months indicates a buyer's market.

SP/LP Ratio: Sale Price to List Price ratio calculated as the median of (sale price / list price) across all sold properties with valid pricing data.

Home Price Index (HPI):CREA's aggregate composite benchmark index tracking price changes for a typical home, adjusted for property mix differences over time.

Update frequency: Data refreshes every 30 minutes via Incremental Static Regeneration (ISR). Daily snapshot metrics update once per day.

Coverage: Includes all residential property types listed on the MLS for Ajax and surrounding areas.

Jeff Chisholm, Sales Representative

Chisholm Real Estate Team at Direct Realty Ltd., Brokerage

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Data provided by REintel. Statistics are aggregated from MLS data under license. Reproduction or redistribution of this data is prohibited without written consent. The listing data is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed accurate by the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA).

REALTOR, REALTORS, and the REALTOR logo are controlled by The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) and identify real estate professionals who are members of CREA. The trademarks MLS, Multiple Listing Service and the associated logos are owned by CREA and identify the quality of services provided by real estate professionals who are members of CREA.