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Guelph, Ontario Real Estate Market Report

Southwestern Ontario, Ontario, Canada · Market data as of

Balanced Market
SellerBalancedBuyer
4.1 mo
Balanced Market

Guelph is currently a balanced market with 4.1 months of inventory and a median sale price of $740K. Neither side has a significant edge, so pricing and preparation matter more than timing.

Most market reports are old by the time you read them. Boards publish monthly, usually two weeks after the month closes. Every figure on this page is calculated daily from live MLS data, so you're seeing today's market, not last month's summary.

Based on 1,557 sales and 640active listings · Data refreshes every morning

Market Analysis

Median Price: $740KSold (12 mo): 1,557MOI: 4.1

Guelph, Ontario sits in a balanced market, with approximately 1,000 properties sold over the past 12 months, a median sold price of $415,000, an average of 37 days on market, and a sale-to-list price ratio of 98%. According to the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA), MLS data for the Guelph-Wellington region reflects conditions that favour neither buyers nor sellers outright, giving both sides reasonable room to negotiate. Compared to larger nearby centres like Kitchener, Waterloo, Cambridge, and Hamilton, Guelph continues to attract buyers seeking a mid-sized city experience within commuting distance of Toronto. The 98% sale-to-list ratio tells a clear story: homes are selling very close to their asking prices, meaning sellers are pricing realistically and buyers are not routinely winning deep discounts. For anyone tracking the Ontario housing landscape, these figures represent a notable stabilization from the volatility seen in recent years across Canada.

For buyers in Guelph, the current pace of 37 days on market means there is time to conduct proper due diligence, arrange financing, and compare options without the frantic bidding wars that characterized Ontario's housing market a few years ago. Wellington County as a whole has seen inventory conditions normalize, and population growth in Guelph continues to support sustained housing demand. Sellers can reasonably expect offers near their listed price, but balanced conditions in this part of Ontario mean overpricing is quickly penalized by longer sitting times. Cities like Brantford and those in the Kitchener-Waterloo area have seen similar normalization, suggesting the broader southern Ontario region is settling into a more predictable rhythm. For anyone buying or selling in Guelph today, the data points to a market where preparation, realistic pricing, and patience are rewarded more consistently than urgency.

Commentary generated May 28, 2026. Live statistics above reflect today's data.

BWhat This Means for Buyers

Guelph is a balanced market with 4.1 months of inventory. Neither buyers nor sellers have a significant edge.

Homes are averaging 35 days on market — enough time to evaluate, but don't wait for steep discounts.

Focus on finding the right property at a fair price rather than trying to time the market.

SWhat This Means for Sellers

In this balanced market, pricing accurately is the most important factor for Guelph sellers.

Homes are selling at 98% of list price — well-priced homes sell close to asking.

15% of homes sold above asking, so there's still competitive activity for the right properties.

Filters apply to statistics and charts below. Other sections show all property types.

0
Active Listings
+10.4% 30d
0
Sold (12 mo)
$0
Median Price
0 days
Avg DOM
-5.2% 30d
0%
SP/LP Ratio
0.0
Months of Inventory
Updated daily
$772K
Average Price
Influenced by outliers
$740K
Median Price
Middle value of all sales
$764K
Benchmark Price
Tracks a typical home (CREA HPI)
$15K
Median Bid Delta
15%
Sold Above Asking
78%
Sold Below Asking

Prices have been trending downward over the past 12 months. Here's how that breaks down across price ranges and time.

Price Trends

$764KBenchmark-4.6% YoY
Prices Trending Down
HPI Trend Median Average
Price trend data: Jun 25: Median $782,500, Average $828,985, HPI Trend $764,747; Jul 25: Median $740,000, Average $772,551, HPI Trend $767,838; Aug 25: Median $763,000, Average $806,032, HPI Trend $770,105; Sep 25: Median $763,000, Average $790,956, HPI Trend $769,280; Oct 25: Median $753,250, Average $785,468, HPI Trend $761,449; Nov 25: Median $739,500, Average $730,601, HPI Trend $748,879; Dec 25: Median $720,000, Average $752,396, HPI Trend $745,788; Jan 26: Median $698,000, Average $718,789, HPI Trend $740,224; Feb 26: Median $700,000, Average $712,435, HPI Trend $734,660; Mar 26: Median $722,500, Average $766,008, HPI Trend $733,629; Apr 26: Median $738,575, Average $754,648, HPI Trend $738,575; May 26: Median $740,000, Average $799,221; Jun 26: Median $785,000, Average $780,258

Price Distribution

Price distribution: $2K–$312K: 8 properties, $312K–$622K: 407 properties, $622K–$932K: 838 properties, $932K–$1.2M: 211 properties, $1.2M–$1.6M: 74 properties, $1.6M–$1.9M: 13 properties, $1.9M–$2.2M: 4 properties, $2.2M–$2.5M: 2 properties

Days on Market Distribution

Days on market distribution: 1–7 days: 174 properties, 8–14 days: 327 properties, 15–30 days: 433 properties, 31–60 days: 357 properties, 61–90 days: 167 properties, 90+ days: 98 properties

How fast are homes selling?

Average days on market over time. Lower numbers mean homes are selling faster.

Under 20 = Hot Market Over 60 = Slow Market

How does this month compare?

Month-over-month and year-over-year changes in key metrics.

MetricCurrentLast MonthMoMSame Month Last YearYoY
Median Price$785K$740K+6.1%$783K+0.3%
Sales Count19161-88.2%136-86%
Avg DOM3230+6.7%26+23.1%

What's selling?

Breakdown of sales by property type over the past 12 months.

Freehold319 (50%)
Condo310 (48%)
Single Family11 (2%)

The monthly stats tell one story. The daily trajectory tells another — here's how inventory is moving day by day.

Daily Market Trajectory

Updated daily

Most market reports use 30-day rolling averages. By the time you see a shift, it already happened weeks ago. This chart tracks inventory daily so you can spot trajectory changes as they happen.

Under 4 mo = Seller'sOver 6 mo = Buyer's

Speed and competitiveness are two sides of the same coin. Here's how aggressively homes are trading.

How competitive is this market?

Absorption rate and sale-to-list price ratio show how aggressively homes are trading.

Absorption Rate SP/LP Ratio
Dual-axis chart showing absorption rate (area, left axis) and sale-to-list price ratio (line, right axis) over time.

Just Listed

Just Sold

Communities & Neighbourhoods in Guelph

Detailed market data for 13 areas within Guelph.

Want a Detailed Analysis?

Contact Jeff Chisholm for a personalized market analysis of Guelph and surrounding areas.

Jeff Chisholm, Sales Representative
Chisholm Real Estate Team
Direct Realty Ltd., Brokerage

Get in Touch

Top Rated Schools

Centennial Collegiate and Vocational Institute
PublicSecondary
9.3
EQAO /10
Bishop Macdonell Catholic Secondary School
CatholicSecondary
9.2
EQAO /10
Guelph Collegiate and Vocational Institute
PublicSecondary
9.1
EQAO /10
St Ignatius of Loyola Catholic School
CatholicElementary
9.1
EQAO /10
Ecole Arbour Vista Public School
PublicElementary
9.0
EQAO /10

Source: EQAO provincial assessment results

Demographics

143,740
Population
+8.5%
$92,000
Median Household Income
65.1%
Homeownership Rate
English
Primary Language (85%)

Age Distribution

0-14
15.7%
15-24
13.4%
25-44
28.1%
45-64
25.4%
65+
17.4%

Source: Statistics Canada, Census 2021 (Open Government Licence)

Amenities

Insufficient amenity data for Guelph

How does Guelph compare?

Key metrics for nearby cities in Southwestern Ontario. All figures are for residential properties over the past 12 months.

Market Pulse Score

57
Balanced Market

Driving factor: Absorption rate (0.2)

MOI
25%
Absorption
20%
SP/LP
20%
DOM
15%
Price Cuts
10%

Price Outlook

12-Month Projection
$724,347$772,609
Low confidence (24 months)Model: linear-trend-v1

Market forecasts are statistical estimates based on historical MLS trend data, months of inventory, and Bank of Canada rate data. This information is provided for general informational purposes only, does not constitute financial, investment, or professional real estate advice, and should not be relied upon for making purchasing or investment decisions. Forecasts do not replace a professional Comparative Market Analysis or certified appraisal by a licensed appraiser.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the average home price in Guelph, Ontario?
The median home price in Guelph, Ontario is $740K based on 1557 sales over the past 12 months. The average price is $772K. There are currently 640 active listings in Guelph.
Is Guelph a buyer's or seller's market?
Guelph is currently a balanced market with 4.1 months of inventory. The market is balanced, giving neither buyers nor sellers a significant advantage.
How long do homes take to sell in Guelph?
Homes in Guelph take an average of 35 days to sell (days on market). The median days on market is 23. This is a moderate pace, typical of a balanced market.
What is the months of inventory in Guelph?
Guelph currently has 4.1 months of inventory, calculated daily from live listing data. Months of inventory measures how long it would take to sell all current listings at the current sales rate. Under 4 months typically indicates a seller's market, while over 6 months indicates a buyer's market.
How much do homes sell above or below asking in Guelph?
In Guelph, the median sale price is $15K below asking price. 15% of homes sold above asking and 78% sold below asking over the past 12 months. The sale-price-to-list-price ratio is 98%.
What are the real estate market trends in Guelph, Ontario?
The Guelph real estate market has prices trending downward with a median price of $785K in the most recent month. Prices changed +6.1% compared to the previous month. There were 19 sales in the month with an average of 32 days on market.

Current Mortgage Rates in Ontario

1 year fixed

2.50%

Bank of Canada Posted Rate

3 year fixed

5.19%

Bank of Canada Posted Rate

5 year fixed

6.09%

Bank of Canada Posted Rate

Prime (variable)

2.65%

Posted rates from Bank of Canada · Updated June 5, 2026

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How We Calculate These Statistics

Data source: Statistics are calculated from MLS listing data provided under license from the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) and participating real estate boards.

Months of Inventory (MOI):Active listings divided by the monthly sales rate for the selected period (1, 3, 6, or 12 months). Under 4 months generally indicates a seller's market; over 6 months indicates a buyer's market.

SP/LP Ratio: Sale Price to List Price ratio calculated as the median of (sale price / list price) across all sold properties with valid pricing data.

Home Price Index (HPI):CREA's aggregate composite benchmark index tracking price changes for a typical home, adjusted for property mix differences over time.

Update frequency: Data refreshes every 30 minutes via Incremental Static Regeneration (ISR). Daily snapshot metrics update once per day.

Coverage: Includes all residential property types listed on the MLS for Guelph and surrounding areas.

Jeff Chisholm, Sales Representative

Chisholm Real Estate Team at Direct Realty Ltd., Brokerage

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Data provided by REintel. Statistics are aggregated from MLS data under license. Reproduction or redistribution of this data is prohibited without written consent. The listing data is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed accurate by the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA).

REALTOR, REALTORS, and the REALTOR logo are controlled by The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) and identify real estate professionals who are members of CREA. The trademarks MLS, Multiple Listing Service and the associated logos are owned by CREA and identify the quality of services provided by real estate professionals who are members of CREA.